(Coady Photography), A Closer Look at 2022 Breeders Cup Classic Hopeful Olympiad, Grandview Equine, Cheyenne Stables, and LNJ Foxwoods. A Saratoga Springs-based racing insider and Beyer Speed Figure maker, Weir is a two-time qualifier for the prestigious National Horseplayers Championship in Las Vegas. NEC Tournament Odds: Merrimack In A One-Horse Race? background-color: #104E8B; He's advising bettors to consider speed figures and track conditions prior to wagering. Trained by Rudy Rodriguez, the gelding led at every call to cover the six furlongs in 1.11.17. Using this information to contravene any law or statute is prohibited. Only one horse has recorded a better Beyer speed figure than Flightline's 126 in the Pacific Classic, and none have matched his five-race string of excellence 105, 114, 118, 112, and 126. They both earned a Brisnet Rating of 111, which tie with Taibafor the best in the Derby. 60 Broad St. They employ their judgment in analyzing any racing card and determining the track variant. Triple Crown Winners from Sir Barton to Justify, Black History Month: Shining a Spotlight on Notable African American Jockeys, Preakness Quick Sheet: Get to Know the 2021 Preakness Horses, Get to Know All 13 U.S. Please confirm the wagering regulations in your jurisdiction as they vary from state to state, province to province and country to country. font-weight: bold; The number of horses to run at least a 95 BSF is equal in the past two Derbies at nine apiece. Odds Shark does not target an audience under the age of 18. It is interesting that the 94 Beyer Speed Figure that Secret Oath earned in the Kentucky Oaks puts her right in the mix with the other top contenders. 1 . She earned an impressive 98 Beyer Speed Figure in that race, the best of any Oaks rival by six points. With the 2022 Breeders' Cup fast approaching we take A look at the historical numbers for each of the 14 championship races. Danzing Candy ran steadily improving figures over his first four races (72-89-92-100) before falling apart in the Santa Anita Derby - when he set a wicked pace over a sloppy track and faded to . Sven Beyer. Where and when, I don't know yet. Below is a closer look at the top Beyer Speed Figure, Brisnet Speed Rating and TimeformUS Speed Figure earned by the 2022 Kentucky Derby contenders. Both represent significant jumps - and another notable improvement, which would be necessary to compete against elite 3-year-olds, is a big ask from a 3-year-old. Click here to sign up for the daily PDF or alerts. In the Demoiselle, she ran a Beyer Speed Figure of 79 and an Equibase Speed Figure of 80, several lengths slower than the figures earned by the country's top 2-year-old filly, Echo Zulu. I'm going to be very mindful of his campaign, he said. specialized hardware accelerators have been developed to facilitate high-speed computations for these data-intensive workloads. While Beyer has also noted that "speed figures tell you how fast a horse ran in the past; they do not necessarily predict how it will run today," their use as a handicapping tool is premised on their ability to shed light on how a horse is likely to run in its next start. Regularly updated current leaders in Beyer Figures, by division, Stormy Liberal's 119 Beyer one for the books, Context matters in determining Beyers for Personal Ensign Stakes, Beyer analysis supports Justify as Derby favorite, Slight edge to American Pharoah over Justify on speed figures, Purchase Beyer on Demand & Lifetime Beyer Speed Figures Click here >>, Download free sample Lifetime Beyer Speed Figures. Comparatively, Rock Your World ran a 100-BSF, which paced the 2021 group. Bet with your head, not over it. Messier notched his 103 in the Robert B. Lewis on Feb. 6. USA: After drawing comparisons with the legendary Secretariat for his extraordinary 19-length romp in Saturday's Pacific Classic at Del Mar, Flightline has been awarded a Beyer speed figure of 126 - the second-highest in 31 years. If you are a casual sports fan getting ready to check out the Kentucky Derby and Triple Crown, you are going to hear plenty of talk about Beyer Speed Figures. (Note that this speed figure was assigned before the numbers were published in the Daily Racing Form, so may not be included in some listings of the top speed figures. } color: #FFF; The list since 1987 Miles Ahead and Drain the Clock, first and second in the Gulfstream Park Sprint, were tied for third in the Beyer figures, according to the Daily Racing Form. 0:04. Consistency and experience show that Epicenter is a worthy favorite who will be tough to beat. [2] Flightline earned a 126 speed figure in winning the 2022 Pacific Classic Stakes at Del Mar Racetrack in 2022. Suite 100 Only Epicenter and Taiba hit triple digits in their most recent race. Beyer Speed Figures have become an industry standard for the comparison of one horse's performance to another. Stay up-to-date with the best from America's Best Racing! Epicenter's effort in the Risen Star earned him a 98 Beyer and Brisnet. Nest improved to an 82 Beyer and a 99 Equibase figure in the Suncoast. } This page was last edited on 10 October 2022, at 07:24 (UTC). By comparison, American Pharoah earned Beyers of 105 for his wins in the Arkansas Derby and the Kentucky Derby. }. University of Louisville Equine Industry Program - Get a Career in Horse Racing! We'll analyze the Beyer Speed Figures on the prep . font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; His performance was given a Beyer Speed Figure of 126, which according to the Daily Racing Form, which publishes the figures, is the second-highest number since eponymous BSF creator Andrew Beyer . You can throw out superlative after superlative. For losing horses, points are deducted according the lengths behind the winner and the distance of the race.Beyer Speed Figures are interchangeable from track to track. Happy Jack. Beyer's subsequent research added the last piece of the puzzle. The British Rail Class 35 is a class of mixed-traffic B-B diesel locomotive with hydraulic transmission.Because of their Mekydro-design hydraulic transmission units, the locomotives became known as the Hymeks.They were numbered D7000-D7100. Below is a closer look at the career best Beyer Speed Figures, Brisnet Speed Ratings and TimeformUS Speed Figures for the North American contenders in the prospective 2022 Kentucky Derby field. In 1992, Beyer began making turf figures, which were made more accurate by his adjustment of the beaten-lengths chart, in which he uses the six-and-a-half furlong beaten-lengths chart for all races at that distance or longer, to reflect the nature of turf racing, where horses jockey for position most of the way, and then sprint home with almost all of their energy in reserve, making the competitive part of the race more akin to a sprint than to the race's actual distance. Each day's races are compared to their pars, with the variant representing the average deviation, and then added to the raw speed rating to yield the par-time based figure. Written By Mo Nuwwarah on June 8, 2022 - Last Updated on June 9, 2022. When handicapping a horse race, there are more variables than one can count, but using the Beyer Speed Figures will get you headed in the right direction. Its true that Speightsown has sired plenty of quality 2-year-olds and talented sprinters, but hes actually far more versatile than that. Simplification seems like the most likely horse to show up for the exotics. A Saratoga Springs-based racing insider and Beyer Speed Figure maker, Weir is a two-time qualifier for the prestigious National Horseplayers Championship in Las Vegas. Odds are estimates, as the opening morning line odds will not be released by Churchill Downs until the post position draw a few days before the first Saturday in May. with a Beyer Speed Figure of 103, best of any contender and second fastest among 3-year-olds this year. The Grade 2, $400,000 Fountain of Youth Stakes , t Hallandale Beach, Fla. Trainers always are searchi Before handicapping the Grade 2, $400,000 San Feli History (1875-2022 Derby Results & Videos), Breeders' Cup Super Screener - Expert Picks. Belmont Stakes 2022 post positions, morning line; We the People favored at 2-1. . Donaldson's Consistent Handicapping Profits (1936), which was cited by Jerry Brown as the method on which the Ragozin and Brown "sheet" figures are based. Messier's career high of 127 and Taiba's best of 125 top the field. That's not about to change. Beyer's subsequent books, "My $50,000 Year at the Races" (1978), "The Winning Horseplayer" (1983), and "Beyer on Speed" (1993) continued to raise racing fans' awareness of the importance of speed figures. Taiba earned a 111 Brisnet rating in winning the Santa Anita Derby, the same number earned by both Mo Donegal and Early Voting, who were separated by just a neck when 1-2 in the Wood. Early Voting's 122 TimeformUS number and Mo Donegal's 121 figure are the third and fourth best in the field. . [Related: Kentucky Derby 2022: New scenarios after 3 defections]. Medaglia dOro and A.P. The lists provide daily updates of the top Equibase Speed Figures earned in stakes races in support of the Eclipse Awards: 2-Year-Old Male 2-Year-Old Female 3-Year-Old Male. He was assigned a 103 Beyer Speed figure for that effort which is the highest in the field. While Flightline is expected to have a more complete campaign next year than he did this year, don't expect him to run seven or eight times. In the only . View information about the top race horses and their winnings at DRF.com today. Taiba won as much the best, again earning a Beyer figure north of 100. Below is the best and most recent BSF from each horse in the 2022 Kentucky Derby Field. As any horses drop out and new horses are elevated into the field, we can adjust the chart accordingly. University of Louisville Equine Industry Program - Get a Career in Horse Racing! [23], As Beyer has noted, a speed figure is a numerical expression of a horse's final time, universalized for distance, track surface, and the daily variant on that surface. OVC Tournament Odds: Just How Vulnerable Is Morehead State? This should be taken with a gain of salt, however, because Epicenter has shown the most consistency. His dam (mother), Tokyo Time, by Medaglia dOro, was a winner at 1 1/8 miles and also Grade 2-placed at that distance. This could have inflated the Beyer Speed Figure earned by a horse in a race. Beyer Speed Figure: 86.7 Betting Favorites All time: 2 for 15: 2021 Winner: Modern Games (*) $2 Exacta: $93.60 $1 Trifecta: $958.70 Beyer Sire Performance Standings offer a metric for measuring stallion performance beyond wins and earnings. On this Wikipedia the language links are at the top of the page across from the article title. Avg. We the People (2-1) Skippylongstocking (20-1) . 'TDN Rising Star' Flightline (Tapit) is really, really, fast. Finley said that all decisions regarding a racing schedule will be made by Sadler. Medina Spirit posted a 101 Brisnet Speed Rating in last year's Kentucky Derby. Still, Carrick was assigned a Beyer Speed Figure of 95, while Robert Bruce got a 102. Messier earned a 103 Beyer in the Robert B. Lewis Stakes (G3). He later was disqualified for a drug overage and runner-up Mandaloun was promoted to the win. Speed Figures: Un Ojo improved his best Equibase Speed Figure 14 points to a 91 for the Rebel Stakes, and he boosted his career-best Beyer Speed Figure 13 points to an 84. The handicapping, sports odds information contained on this website is for entertainment purposes only. Beyer Speed Figures and TimeformUS Speed Figures are courtesy ofDaily Racing Form. Taiba earned the same number when defeating his stablemate in the Santa Anita Derby (G1). border: 1px solid #CCC; So a high BSF ceiling is notable, but also consistency is a plus too to battle possible negative regression. }. The fields for the 14 races that comprise the Breeders Cup World Championships really begin to come into focus in summer and fall, and just last weekend we witnessed several breakout performances. With a large field set to enter the starting gate on Saturday, want to see the horse racing predictions from racing insider and Beyer Speed Figure maker Bob Weir before making any 2022 Blue Grass . This story was posted in Shared News and tagged Beyer Speed Figures, Flightline, Horse Racing, John Sadler, Runhappy Malibu S., Santa Anita, Terry Finley. Un Ojo notched only an 84 Beyer Speed Figure for his upset win in the Rebel (G2). Welcome to 2022 Kentucky Derby Prospect Snapshots, where we'll take a look each week at a recent winner on the Triple Crown trail, usually from the Road to the Kentucky Derby schedule from which the . No specifics, he said. On 2016's Derby trail, the top number was the 103 earned by Exaggerator in his victory in the Santa Anita Derby. I've got a good ownership group. 83. As of 02.26.23. Beyer Speed Figures had him with a top of 79 as a 2-year-old, but he earned a 94 for the San Vicente and a 98 for the San Felipe, so he's . The Beyer Speed Figure specifically does not consider other variables such as the early pace or traffic problems a horse may have faced during a given race. Below is the best and most recent BSF from each horse in the 2022 Kentucky Derby Field. } It has sold approximately 200,000 copies, has been translated into Japanese and Korean, and is still in print after 44 years. Bet with your head, not over it. His victory put him at the top of the 2022 Kentucky Derby leaderboard with a total of 64 points. ** Get a $150 deposit match from AmWager + Daily Rewards**, Kentucky Derby prep: Gotham Stakes 2023 odds and analysis, Work tab: Cody's Wish drills for 1st time since Breeders' Cup win, Head to Head: Handicapping Fountain of Youth 2023, Romans wins weight battle, now looks to Fountain of Youth, Ky. Derby prep: 1 horse can beat Yakteen 5 in San Felipe. If the download does not complete, Click Here. The Beyer Speed Figure is a system for rating the performance of Thoroughbred racehorses in North America designed in the early 1970s by Andrew Beyer, the syndicated horse racing columnist for The Washington Post. 38 Flatter Died 2022 67 111 17 0 $665,300 3 3 4% 0 0 0% 96 Hero Status. table.tableizer-table { Not only is Epicenter the lone horse in the race to run a number above 100, which is what it likely will take to win this race, but he has run three straight races with a 98 or higher Beyer. 97. The track variant considers both the historical average time at the racetrack for the distance in question, called the "par time", and the average speed for the day in particular. Capped a run of three wins in four starts at Fair Grounds with a score in the Grade 2 Louisiana Derby, earning a career best Beyer Speed Figure of 102. In Betting Thoroughbreds, Steve Davidowitz claimed that (in 1974), "the top-figure horse wins 35 percent of the time, at a slight loss for every $2.00 wagered." He has run consecutive 101 numbers, which puts him behind four other Preakness probables. Red Bank, NJ 07701, p: (732) 747-8060 Among long shots, Zozos has the best chance to spring an upset, based on speed figures. Beyer Speed Figures favorEpicenter, and it is not very close. 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational Bets: Final PGA TOUR Thoughts, Betting Card. However, Beyer gave both colts a Beyer Speed Figure of 100. Beyer Speed Figures will sometimes be revised after they are originally published. 'TDN Rising Star' Flightline ( Tapit) is really, really, fast . By his theory, a horse earning an 85 Beyer at Golden Gate Fields going seven furlongs and a horse earning an 85 Beyer at nine furlongs at Santa Anita basically have the same ability. Below we take a closer look at the Beyer Speed Figures, Brisnet Speed Ratings and TimeformUS Figures to determine his biggest threats. by ericdecoster February 9, 202211 min read. 2022 Kentucky Derby Beyer Speed Figure Rankings For Every Horse. Dale Romans gave me some good advice, he said. In fact, his 103 Beyer Speed Figure is the highest by a 3-year-old this year, according to the Daily Racing Form. For winning the Arkansas Derby (G1), Cyberknife earned a Brisnet Figure three points lower than Happy Jack did while being dusted in the Santa Anita Derby. font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; The Grade 2, $400,000 Fountain of Youth Stakes , t Hallandale Beach, Fla. Trainers always are searchi Before handicapping the Grade 2, $400,000 San Feli History (1875-2022 Derby Results & Videos), Breeders' Cup Super Screener - Expert Picks. Used 2014 Audi A6 from Beyer Kia Falls Church in Falls Church, VA, 22046. A 2011 journalism graduate from Nebraska-Omaha, he combines those skills with his love of sports and statistics to help bettors make more informed decisions with a focus on pro football, baseball and basketball. border: 1px solid #CCC; Your TDN download has begun. He's done a super job and he's made all the right moves. Though by no means the end all and be all of picking winners, speed figures provide a good gauge of the overall talent level of horses in a race. 84. In 2019, Country House received the win with a 99 BSF. Beyer said that if his figures were around in 1973, Secretariat would have earned a 139 Beyer for his Belmont Stakes victory. 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational Bets: Final PGA TOUR Thoughts, Betting Card. Beyer Speed Figures are a great tool. BSFs were created by Andy Beyer and are a system for rating the performance of horses in North America. Play today with NYRA Bets! Brett is an avid sports traveler and former Division-I football recruiter for Bowling Green and Texas State. margin: 3px; This makes them wild cards of sorts, with the odds estimate reflecting the uncertainty. [8] It is noteworthy that Easy Goer's overall speed figures were substantially superior to principal rival Sunday Silence, despite Sunday Silence's slight three to one edge in their head-to-head races. Messier and Taiba lead all contenders in the Beyer Speed Figure department. There were three Kentucky Derby horses that posted 100+ BSFs. She turned in her first workout on the Churchill Downs surface on Saturday, April 30, going four furlongs in 47.80 seconds. He's a special horse. Periods of rain. This Saturday will see the 154th running of New York's horse racing classic, and Belmont Stakes odds have opened for betting. A system for rating the performance of Thoroughbred racehorses in North America, Learn how and when to remove this template message, "Figure Makers: An Open Mind Rules The Beyer Method", "Flightline stunning as he runs away with Pacific Classic", "Overacheiver [sic] Cigar Had a Mark of Consistency", "Paulick Report Forum brought to you by Breeders' Cup: Talking Speed Figures with Beyer", "Best Bets: A handicapping history of the Breeders' Cup, Part 5 [Breeders' Cup]", "Commentator stands alone in Beyer history", "With a Combination of Speed and Class, War Pass Is Reminiscent of Seattle Slew", "Jerardi: Top Beyer Figures a thing of the past", "Frosted ran off the screen and to the top of the Beyer scale", "Overacheiver Cigar Had a Mark of Consistency", "American Pharoah's 120 erases any doubts", https://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=Beyer_Speed_Figure&oldid=1115194621, Short description is different from Wikidata, Articles with unsourced statements from March 2015, Articles needing additional references from March 2015, All articles needing additional references, Creative Commons Attribution-ShareAlike License 3.0, This page was last edited on 10 October 2022, at 07:24. Last year, he was on fire. Messier and Taiba lead all contenders in the Beyer Speed Figure department. Combining BSFs with other metrics like Brisnet Speed Figures and final furlong times gives us a more complete picture of this field. Note that unlike with Brisnet and Beyer, TimeformUS also takes pace into account when formulating its figures. Note that Crown Pride and Summer Is Tomorrow do not have relevant Beyer Speed Figures due to running outside the United States. He has produced multiple five-figure days at the track over the years, including a $60,000 Pick 6 at Del Mar in 2014. With A 118 Beyer, Flightline Heads Into 2022. The Beyer team felt justified for putting the older horse's time in context with the pace and level of the race. However, seven horses posted a BSF between 90-94 in the 2022 crop versus five in 2021. Beyer Speed Figures express the most important factor in handicapping: how fast a horse has run in each of his starts. There is so much to look forward to out there.. Beyer explained that rating a horses ability on just the final time of the race was not good enough, because racing surfaces can vary from day to day based on the weather, how the track is maintained and other factors. Among those not at the top of the speed figure scale, only Creative Minister is worth giving a second look. Questions of general interest will be preferred for publication. The Grade 2, $400,000 Fountain of Youth Stakes , t Hallandale Beach, Fla. Trainers always are searchi Before handicapping the Grade 2, $400,000 San Feli History (1875-2022 Derby Results & Videos), Breeders' Cup Super Screener - Expert Picks. Follow TheLines on Twitter for complete 2022 Kentucky Derby coverage. So some of the traditional rules may not apply. Epicenter might have grabbed the weekend headlines by winning the Grade 2 Risen Star and picking up 50 qualifying points for the 2022 Kentucky Derby.But it was a 5-year-old who had the fastest race of the weekend, at least according to two sources. .tableizer-table th { Top Beyer Speed Figures. Flightline was given a 118 Beyer figure for his sensational performance in Sunday's GI Runhappy Malibu S. at Santa Anita, which is the top figure assigned to any horse this year. The figures are straightforward: the greater the number, the quicker the horse. He will now try to win the Derby in only his third start, which seems preposterous, but it seemed preposterous to win the . . Messier posted his on Feb. 6, 2022 in the Robert B. Lewis (G3), a 1 1/16 mile run which Messier won. Receive daily headlines, breaking news alerts, promotions, and much . In last year's Kentucky Derby, Medina Spirit posted a 102 Beyer Speed Figure when crossing the wire first. Chance of rain 100%. Bet On Flightline (+375) at BetOnline None of the entrants in 2010's field has yet earned a number higher than 101. Racing Rsum: After winning two of five starts in his first two seasons of racing with a fourth-place finish in the Grade 1 Cigar Mile Handicap Presented by NYRA Bets in his stakes debut, Olympiad has emerged in 2022 as a rising star for Hall of Fame trainer Bill Mott. Handicappers may find it useful to relate the par to the typical figures of horses in a field. (Of course, all horses have distances they prefer, and a sprinter who earns a big figure at six furlongs is unlikely to duplicate it in the Kentucky Derby.) He's a gift. The most exciting two minutes in sports doubles as a betting bonanza as well. For the purpose of this particular preview we'll just . Daily Racing Form provides the top 25 race horses ranked by earnings. First published in book form in 1975, the Daily Racing Form began incorporating Beyer Speed Figures in a horse's past performances in 1992 and the system now assigns a Beyer number for each horse race. After breaking a step slowly, the 3-year-old took control early on, started to draw clear on the turn and then galloped away from his rivals without ever being asked by jockey Flavien Prat. If the top contenders in a Belmont MSW field regularly run in the 70s, the race may be a good spot for first-time starters or other entrants with no recent form. At Belmont Park, maiden special weight races for older horses have a par of 87. Crown Pride hails from Japan while Summer Is Tomorrow, despite a Kentucky breeding, has been racing in Dubai. Morello performed the worst last time out, surprisingly after winning his first three races. Sell. How do they stand up to last years group and what can we expect from these 20 horses? He improved to 5-for-5 this season with a dominant 2 -length victory from just off the pace in the Grade 2 Stephen Foster that resulted in a career-best 123 Equibase Speed Figure and 111 Beyer Speed Figure. Following a five-month intensive process, Beyer, with partner Matt Hopkins and colleague Randy Moss, all the speed figures for 2015 turf races have been updated. [5] Easy Goer is also the record-holder for a two-year-old, earning a 116 Beyer Speed Figure in the 1988 Champagne Stakes. Before you place your wagers on the Derby, you'll want the skinny on the horses. [1], The record for the highest Beyer Speed figure is held by Groovy, the 1987 American Champion Sprint Horse who earned 133 and 132 in back-to-back races,[2] in the Roseben and True North Handicaps at six furlongs in 1987.
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